Issue Briefs

The Geopolitical Logic of the Ongoing Afghanistan–Pakistan War
This Issue Brief examines how the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) evolved from a regional strategic asset into an autonomous insurgent threat, fuelling a cycle of blame and instability between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Russia’s Odessa Drive: Geopolitical Imperatives and Competing Visions
Russia’s intensified strikes on Odessa highlight its bid to neutralise Ukraine’s maritime lifeline and assert dominance in the Black Sea. Rooted in historical claims and NATO security fears, Moscow’s campaign threatens Ukraine’s economy, global food security, and regional stability, while exposing the limits of international institutions.
Structural Constraints and Strategic Inertia: Rethinking Gulf Security After Israel’s Doha Attack
This Issue Brief analyses the structural limitations of the Gulf security framework in light of Israel’s unprecedented attack in Doha on 9 September, targeting Palestinian Hamas leadership. While the attack marked a dangerous escalation of Tel Aviv’s regional adventurism, it also exposed the enduring structural weaknesses of the Gulf’s security architecture which has been defined by entrenched dependency on the United States.



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The Geopolitics of Proximity: India-Bangladesh relations in an era of strategic rebalancing
Mohammad Usman Bhatti
This study explores India‑Bangladesh relations after the 2024 transition, highlighting trade imbalances, energy dependence, and disinformation, while stressing multi‑alignment and the need for reciprocal partnership in a multipolar South Asia.
From SAGAR to MAHASAGAR: India’s Quest for Maritime Leadership and Security
Mohammed Badrul Alam
India’s maritime strategy evolves through SAGAR and MAHASAGAR, uniting naval power, Coast Guard roles, blue economy goals, and regional partnerships to secure trade routes and counter rising Indian Ocean challenges.
Black September and Zia-ul-Haq’s forgotten war: The Butcher who became a Champion
Mohammed Shoaib Raza
In 1970 Brigadier Zia-ul-Haq helped Jordan crush Palestinian fighters in Black September, earning royal gratitude that later aided his rise—before reinventing himself as a champion of the Palestinian cause.